山西省农村经济灰色预测

GREY FORECASTING OF SHANXI RURAL ECONOMY

本文运用灰色多元聚类数学模型对山西省农村经济类型进行了划分。对各类型区的农村经济主要指标,建立了灰色动态(EM1.1)模型,并针对农村经济发展快、数据序列短、变化大的特点,运用等维灰数递补动态预测技术,进行了中长期灰色预测,取得了较满意的结果。

The types of Shanxi rural economy have been classfied by gery-multivariant cluster math. model in this paper. The grey dynamic model (GM1,1) on main index of rural economy of all types has been set up. According to these characteristics of fast developing, short series of date and great change in the rural economy, medium and long term grey forecasting has been made with filling vacancies in the proper order method of the same dimension grey dates. The results are satisfied.