GM（1，1）在人口预测中的应用

A Application of GM(1,1)to the Population Forecast

本文应用灰色理论，对１９５０年至１９８０年我国妇女的总和生育率进行了分析，并用ＧＭ（１，１）模型进行预测，为我国今后的计划生育工作及经济发展规划提供了可靠的依据。

In this paper,the birth rate of the total amount from 1950 to 1980 in ourcountry is studied by applyingthe grey theroy.A forecasting model is established on thisbasis and a reliable evidence is proposed for the birth contrel and the developing economy