摘要
经济混沌是非线性经济系统中呈现的一种貌似随机不确定现象．本文通过对经济混沌的动因分析，指出温沌是经济系统的本质特性；根据混沌的有序性，提出经济混沌预测的基本原理；给出一个甚于混沌吸引子的时间序列预测方法，指出影响预测效果的主要因素．
Economic chaos is a random-like behavior resulting from nonlinear dynamic economic system. In this poper the causalitied of economic chaos are analyzed,and it is pointed out that chaos is the nature of economiC system. A method of economic chaos forecasting according to the order included in chaos is presented, and the main factors affecting the accuracy of forecasting are also discussed.
出处
《合肥工业大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
1995年第3期43-48,共6页
Journal of Hefei University of Technology：Natural Science
