通信发展预测的不定性分析

Uncertainity Analysis of Prediction for Communication Development

提出了通信发展预测的不定性，并对其进行了理论和实例分析。不过，预测作为一种管理手段仍具有很大的意义，预测结果也具有一定的适用性和指导作用。

Proposes the uncertainity of prediction for telecommunication development,andmakes an analysis for it in both theory and practice. As a managemental way,nevertheless,the prediction is still important.The resuIt of prediction is of applicability and is instructiveto our work.。