摘要
混沌理论不仅为认识洪水变化规律提供了新的观点，同时也为洪水预测方法提供了新的途经。本文简要论述洪水时间序列相空间预测途经的理论背景．基本方法及缺点．
The chaotic theory may provide not only a new idea for exploring the fluctuation of flood but also a promising approach to developing the model for flood prediction. This paper deals with the theoretic background. fundamental method and advantage of the approach to flood prediction from a phase space of flood time sequence.
基金
国家自然科学基金
关键词
相空间预测
洪水时间序列
洪水
浑沌
chaos, prediction form a phase space, flood time sequence
