摘要
本文提出了区域类比法预测未来省域能源需求量的研究思路，在运用区域类比法的基础上结合运用弹性系数法、部门分析法、人均能耗法对湖南２０００年、２０２０年、２０５０年所需能源量进行预测．可以提高预测质量，其预测的结果可供政府部门拟定国民经济战略规划时参考．
In this paper, we put forward a method of calculation energy demand: regional analogy'method. Combining this method with elasticity coefficient,department analysis,per capita energy consumption. We caculate the energy demands in provence of Hunan, in 2000,2020, 2050 year. This method can improve the quality of caculation. This research of calculation is to provide goverment to revise strategic planning of national economy.
出处
《湖南师范大学自然科学学报》
CAS
1995年第2期74-78,共5页
Journal of Natural Science of Hunan Normal University
关键词
能源发展战略
区域类比法
节能
需求预测
中国
strategy of energy development
regional analogy
energy saving
elanticity coefficient.
