摘要
根据陕北黄土高原地区1986-2001年土地详查资料及土地变更调查资料,对该区土地利用动态变化进行了分析。以土地利用变化规律为依据,运用灰色系统动态模型GM(1,1)进行模拟,得到耕地、园地、林地、交通用地等土地利用类型的趋势预测方程,并对2010年土地利用变化的趋势预测进行分析,提出陕北黄土高原土地资源可持续利用的对策及措施。
In this paper, the dynamic change of the land use in theLoess Plateau in north of Shanxi province is analyzed based on the land investigation data during 1986-2001. On thebasis of land use laws and gray system dynamic model GM （ 1,1 ）, the simulation is taken, obtaining the trend forecast equation offarmland, garden plot, woodland, traffic land etc. Besides, the paper analyzes the trend of land use in 2010, and presentscountermeasures for the sustainable use of land resource in the north of Shaanxi Province.
出处
《国土资源科技管理》
2005年第4期1-4,共4页
Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources
基金
教育部重大项目(2001ZDXM770012)
