影响防城港市的热带气旋灾害评估方法

The Method of Ration Evaluation to Disaster of the Tropical Cyclone Influenced Fangchenggang

对1970～2003年影响防城港市的热带气旋造成的灾情进行定量评估研究,应用灾情指数,客观划分灾情等级,用来表示受灾程度,利用逐步回归方法,建立影响防城港市的热带气旋灾情定量评估和预估方法.

This paper studies the method of ration evaluation to the situation of a disasterinfluenced by tropical cyclone in Fangchenggang during 1970 to 2003. Then apply disaster index, objectively classify the rank of the situation of a disaster to show the disaster degree, apply Stepwisere gression method, finally found the method of ration evaluation and advanced estimation to disaster of the tropical cyclone influenced Fangchenggang.