云南省投资与经济增长关系的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Fixed Assets Investment and Economic Growth in Yunnan

采用Granger影响关系检验和科伊克模型方法,利用云南省1989～2004年的年度数据,对固定资产投资和经济增长的关系进行了实证分析.实证结果表明:云南省的固定资产投资与经济增长之间不仅存在双向Granger因果关系,同时也存在显著的即时双向影响;固定资产投资增长1%,当期经济平均增长0.11%.由于投资的滞后效应,投资增长1%对经济增长的总影响为0.69%.

Based on the Granger Cause and Key Mode, using the data of 1989 -2004 in Yunnan province, the paper examined the relationship between fixed assets investment and economic growth. The findings showed that the relation is not just bi - directional, but also instantaneous in a significance level.