经济林产品国内外市场需求预测(1996—2010年)(续)

FORECAST ON THE DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL MARKET OF ECONOMIC FOREST PRODUCTS(1996—2010)

五、未来15年(1996—2010年)经济林产品市场需求预测(一)国内市场需求预测1.按国民经济增长速度预测国民经济增长带动经济林产品市场需求增长。1979—1993年间,是我国经济飞速发展时期,GNP 年平均递增率为9%,其中“六五”期间年均递增率为10.6%,“七五”期间年均递增率为8.1%,“八五”头3年年均递增率为11.1%。据预测,“八五”后2年,

With the sustainable development of world economy and the expan- sion of foreign trade,economic forest products have become a major product for economy development and foreign export in the world.Through analyses on factors affecting the demand and supply of economic forest products and retros- pect on the market,this article makes a prediction on the market of economic forest products for the next 15 years(1996—2010)with some adjustment ideas to deal with the existing problems in the development of economic forest.