摘要
本文根据灰色系统理论［１］建立了我国几种主要能源指标年产量的残差ＧＭ（１，１）校正灰色模型的长期动态预测模型，经检验模型精度为一级，并提供了到２０００年的预测值．
According to the theory of the grey sytem we have developed,for the annual yield of some chief energy resources target, a dynamic statemodel GM (1, 1 ) for the grey forecast of error -rectify. Through testing, theprecision of the model is good. we have obtained the forecast date up to theyear 2000.
出处
《水电能源科学》
北大核心
1995年第2期73-77,共5页
Water Resources and Power
关键词
能源工业
产量
灰色系统
预测模型
grey system, error model GM(1, 1 ) forecast, test after testerror
