用PS法预测我国2050年煤炭供应能力

Forecast of Chinese Coal Supply in 2050 by the PS Method

在分析影响煤炭开发因素（投资、运输、水资源等）的基础上，运用ＰＳ（Ｐｏｓｓｉ－ｂｉｌｉｔｙｓａｔｉｓｆａｃｔｉｏｎ）法预测了我国２０５０年最可能满意的煤炭供应能力，为煤炭开发规模的决策提供了依据。

Having analysed various factors influencing coal exploitation,this paper forecasts the most possible and satisfactory Chinese coal supply in 2050 by the possibility satisfaction(PS)method.The research has laid the foundation for the decision of coal exploitation scales.