农民创业、分工演进与农村经济增长--基于中国农村统计数据的时间系列分析

Farmers' Entrepreneurship,Evolution and Rural Economic Growth Based on the Time Series of China's Rural Statistics

文章将农民创业划分为种养业、集体创办乡镇企业、个体创业及私营企业投资四种形式,并分析与其相对应的农村劳动力分工演进的四个阶段,并研究两者对农村经济增长的影响作用。结果表明,农民创业对农村经济增长具有显著的拉动效应,而农村经济增长对农村私营企业投资的拉动作用比个体创业要大,此外,研究还发现,1992～2005年农村劳动力分工对农村经济增长的贡献率最低为4%,最高近9%,表明农村经济增长已初步由外延推动型向内源拉动型转变。基于此,文章提出扩大农村非农活动门路、改善创业环境与推进农业物流体系建设等相关对策建议。

By dividing the farmers' entrepreneurship into four forms,the paper conducts an analysis of the corresponding four stages of the division of rural labor,and the impact of farmers' entrepreneurship on the rural economic growth.The results showed that the farmers' entrepreneurship has significant pull effects on rural economic growth,while the rural economic growth has greater impact on the rural private sector investment than on the individual entrepreneur.The study also found that during 1992～2005,in terms ...