林产品进口影响因素的灰色关联分析

Grey Correlation Analysis of Influence Factors for Forest Product Importation

针对1999—2008年林产品进口的变动情况,从经济、贸易、林业供给等方面分析影响林产品进口的9种因素。通过灰色关联分析模型的建立和数据计算,得出国内生产总值、对外经济合作营业额、关税对林产品进口金额的影响较大,从而为政府调控和制定相关政策提供合理依据。

On account of the change in forest product importation from 1999 to 2008,the 9 factors on the aspects of economy,trade and forestry supply that influenced upon the forest product importation were analyzed in this paper.According to the establishment of grey correlation analysis model and data calculations,it worked out that the gross domestic production,international economic cooperation and tariffs greatly influenced upon the forest product importation.This study might provide the government with theoretical reference for relevant policy making and regulating.