海上机动目标的运动预测模型及精度分析

Movement Forecast Model and Precision Analysis on Maneuvering Targets on the Sea

分析了海上机动目标的运动特性,针对海上机动目标在某些时间段运动具有一定的规律性,用插值外推法建立了预测其运动的数学模型。并对此模型的精度进行了分析,最后给出了实例。仿真结果表明,本模型能适用于海上机动目标不同的机动方式,算法快捷,具有较强的军事应用价值,模型的计算精度完全满足某新型号导弹的作战要求。

Based on some rules of maneuvering targets on the sea ,this paper analyses the movement character of maneuvering targets on the sea and builds the mathematics model of forecasting movement by the interpolation and extrapolate method. It analyses precision of the model and presents some cases. Simulate result shows that the model of applied value in military affairs is applicable to various maneuvering mode and the algorithm is rather fast ,that precision of the model absolutely fulfils the need of some new type missile campaign.