基于误差修正模型的卫生总费用与GDP关系研究

Estimation of Relationship Between Health Expenditures and GDP Using Error Correction Model

据国内外研究表明,收入是影响卫生总费用(THE)的主要因素。利用我国1978-2003年THE的时间序列数据,对THE和GDP(国内生产总值)的关系进行协整分析和建立误差修正模型,得出THE相对于GDP的长期弹性系数和短期弹性系数,以及上期THE对本期THE的弹性系数。

Total health expenditures （THE） have risen with the increase of economy and the improvement of people＇s life level.The relative research indicated that income is the primary factor of the increase of THE.This article used the timeseries data of China from 1978 to 2003 to analyze the quantiatative relation between THE and GDP adopting the methods of co-integraction approach and error correction model.This paper estimates both long-run and short-term elasticity of THE relative to GDP and the elasticity between THE in previous period relative to the current period.