未确知性信息的证据理论合成及其应用

Synthesis method of unascertained information and application

针对在装备管理中所采用的专家评估法存在着未确知性现象,提出了一种基于D-S证据合成理论来融合未确知性信息的方法.从而,将每名专家的意见综合为专家组的一致意见,使评估结果更合理.最后,通过实例说明该方法的有效性.

As the expert evaluation method applied in equipment management has the unascertained characteristic, the synthesis method of unascertained information based on D-S theory is presented, by which every expert′s opinion is synthesized, thus the result of evaluation is more creditable. Finally, an application example proves that the method is effective.