摘要
近年来,人们对干旱灾害的预报研究取得了长足的进步。在介绍了干旱分类及其应用指标的基础上,对目前在气象干旱预报、农业干旱预报以及干旱的集成预报方法方面所取得的进展进行了阐述,并讨论了各种预报方法的优缺点以及未来干旱预报的趋势。
Great advancements in drought prediction have been made in recent years. Base on the discussion of the types and index of drought, the research results of meteorological drought prediction, agricultural drought prediction and the method of integrative prediction are elucidated. Finally, the advantage and disadvantage of each method are introduced, and the tendency of research in drought prediction is also briefly discussed.
出处
《灾害学》
CSCD
2005年第3期112-116,共5页
Journal of Catastrophology
基金
广东省科技创新百项工程项目(99B07001G
2KB06901S)
湛江市988科技兴湛计划项目(117)
广东省农业科技攻关项目(2002A2040904)
关键词
干旱预报
干旱指标
集成预报
drought prediction, drought index, integrative prediction