摘要
依据国家先后4次测试公布的全国乡村儿童青少年体质调研的原始数据,运用灰色系统理论GM(1,1)模型,建立农村青少儿生长发育预测期望值模型,预测未来10年农村青少儿的生长发育趋势。结果表明,未来10年我国农村青少儿生长发育有继续提前的趋势;生长发育仍处于“长期趋势”中的快速增长阶段;身体发展的匀称度将得到明显的改善。
Based on original data of physical investigation for junior conducted in the rural areas in China and using the Grey system theory GM （1,1）,this paper set up the expect model for junior growth in the rural areas ,predicted growth trend of junior in the future of 10 years. The result showed that the growth of junior in the rural areas was still in the trend of early grownup and developed fast in long-term developing trend. The body shape was improved apparently.
出处
《体育科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第9期38-40,52,共4页
China Sport Science
关键词
儿童
青少年
身高
体重
灰色预测
农村
中国
children
junior
height
weight
Grey prediction
rural areas
China
