FDI对我国进出口贸易经济效应的分析

An Analysis of the Effectiveness of FDI for Chinese Economy of Import and Export

2003年,中国吸引外商直接投资(Foreign Direct Investment,简称FDI)金额达530亿美元,2004年估计能达到600亿-620亿美元,未来还会继续提升。FDI对我国进出口贸易的影响分别从总量效应和结构效应两个方面体现出来,总量效应可细化为直接效应和间接效应,结构效应主要通过技术的溢出效应得以实现。实证分析的结果表明,FDI不仅对我国进出口贸易总量增长起着明显的推动作用,而且对我国进出口贸易结构的提升也起着明显的拉动作用。政府应进一步加强对FDI的产业导向,使FDI在我国社会经济发展中发挥更大的作用。

In 2003, the sum of FDI had reached 530 hundred million US $. This figure will amount to 600-620 hundred million US $ in 2004 and go on upgrading in future. The influence of FDI is materialized on gross quantity effect and configuration effect. Gross quantity effect is subdivided into direct effect and indirect effect. Configuration effect is realized by the effect of overflow. As a result of demonstration analysis, FDI has not only promoted the increase of import and export total quantity, but also draw the advance of import and export trade configuration. For the future, the government should reinforce industry guide and make FDI bring into play in the development of social economy.