应用三维冰雹云模式制作河北省11地市冰雹预报

Hail Forecast with 3-D Hailstorm Numerical Model at Eleven Cities in Hebei Province

应用中国科学院大气物理研究所发展的完全弹性三维冰雹云模式,使用河北省内三个探空站(张家口、北京、邢台)的探空资料,制作了河北省冰雹区域客观预报。在此基础上,应用MM5中尺度模式的预报资料制作河北省11地市的冰雹预报。预报结果表明,该方法对冰雹等强对流天气的预报具有一定的参考价值和指导作用。

With the 3-D hailstorm numerical model, regional hail forecast in Hebei Province is made. Based on this, hail forecast of eleven cities in Hebei Province is made with MM5 mesoscale numerical model data. The results indicate that the method may play a referenced role in hail forecast.