摘要
山东省是我国的人口大省,也是人口老龄化速度较快的省份。本文利用人口发展数学模型,得出五种预测方案,然后再根据山东省的实际形势确定了备选方案,分析了山东省百年人口老龄化总趋势,以及2005-2020年山东省人口老龄化发展特征,最后提出了相应的对策和建议。
Shandong is the province that owning large population in China, and its velocity of aging population is faster. This paper educed five kinds of divinable scheme by using the mathematical model of population＇s development,and ensured the spare scheme according to practical situation of Shandong province. The author analyzed the total tread of aging population ia lifetime of Shandong province, and the developmental character of aging population of Shandong province during 2005 to 2020, finally proposed the corresponding countermeasures and advice.
出处
《西北人口》
2005年第5期19-22,共4页
Northwest Population Journal
基金
山东省老龄委委托课题
关键词
人口老龄化
老年人口
发展趋势
山东省
aging population
old persons
devdoping trend
Shandong province
