新疆玛纳斯河年径流预报研究

Study of Annual Surface Flow Prediction in Manas River of Xinjiang

在进行灰色拓扑理论探讨的基础上,选取新疆玛纳斯河年径流作为预报对象。建立GM(1,1)灰色拓扑模型群,通过结论分析,表明该模型在年径流预报中为一种较为理想的方法。

The annual surface flow in the Manas River of Xinjiang was chosen as object on the basis of discussion on the grey topological theory. Setting up GM （1,1） grey topological model groups and through analyzing conclusion ,it indicates that such model is a kind of comparatively ideal method in predicting annual surface flow.