我国金矿勘查和开采大趋势

MAIN TREND OF EXPLORATION AND EXPLOITATION FOR GOLD DEPOSIT IN CHINA

利用笔者建立的矿产储量发现过程函数，结合近１０年乃至建国以来金矿勘查与开采的实际，预测未来５至１０年我国金矿储量发现趋势，指出虽然“九五”、“十五”２个五年计划中我国金矿储量和黄金产量的上升势头不减，但除非有更新的找矿高潮形成，否则１０年以后，金矿储量发现和黄金生产发展都将停步不前，为此要加强找矿以形成新的资源发现趋势，同时调整黄金生产发展方针。另外，从成矿能力和找矿力度，分析了我国金矿潜在远景，指出西部１０省区和深部应是今后找矿重点。

The discovery trend of gold reserves in future 1015 years is predicted by using the function of discovery process of mineral reserves built by the author and combining the explorating and exploitating practices for gold deposit in recent 10 years and even since the founding of the Peoples Republic of China.Gold reserves and production remain an ascending trend in the 9th and 10th fiveyear plans,but the discovery of gold reserves and the development of gold production will be at a standstill after 10 years until the formation of new prospecting upsurge.So the oresearch should be strengthened to form the discovery trend of new resources,at same time ,the developing principle of gold production should be adjusted.In addition,according to the oreforming capacity and the prospecting power and extent,the potential prospect of gold deposit in China has been analysed and the future prospecting focal points should be the depth and 10 provinces and districts in the West.