外商直接投资与中国对外贸易间关系的实证研究

The Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between the Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Trade of China

在中国的对外经济活动中,东亚的新兴工业化国家和美国都是中国的重要伙伴。文章把新加坡和泰国作为新兴工业化国家的代表与高度发达的美国相对应,采用协整分析和误差修正模型研究了中国对这些国家的贸易与其在华直接投资两者间的关系。研究结果显示,这种关系在两类不同国家间存在较大差异,长期以来,美商在华直接投资与我国对美出口之间具有双向格兰杰因果关系,而另外两个国家则只具有单向的格兰杰因果关系。

Both the United States and the newly industrializing countries in East Asia are the very important trade and investment partners of China. This paper analyses the relationship between China＇s trade with these countries and their investments in China. It is found that the relationship is quite different between China and the different nations.