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Red Tide Frequency Analysis Using the Extreme Value Theory

Red Tide Frequency Analysis Using the Extreme Value Theory
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摘要 In recent years, the red tide erupted frequently, and caused a great economic loss. At present, most literatures emphasize the academic research on the growth mechanism of red tide alga. In order to find out the characters of red tide in detail and improve the precision of forecast, this paper gives some new approaches to dealing with the red tide. By the extreme values, we deal with the red tide frequency analysis and get the estimation of T-times red tide level U (T), which is the level once the consistence of red tide alga exceeds on the average in a period of T times. In recent years, the red tide erupted frequently, and caused a great economic loss. At present, most literatures emphasize the academic research on the growth mechanism of red tide alga. In order to find out the characters of red tide in detail and improve the precision of forecast, this paper gives some new approaches to dealing with the red tide. By the extreme values, we deal with the red tide frequency analysis and get the estimation of T-times red tide level U (T) , which is the level once the consistence of red tide alga exceeds on the average in a period of T times.
出处 《Marine Science Bulletin》 CAS 2005年第2期80-85,共6页 海洋通报(英文版)
基金 This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under No.10472077.
关键词 Red tide Generalized extreme values distribution Empirical distribution Kerneldensity 赤潮 海洋污染 频率 预报方法
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