四川盆地自然地理系统的抗性分析——Ⅲ 抗性发展趋势

Analysis of the Resistant Ability Against Natural Calamities in Sichuan Basin Geographical System Ⅲ The Changing trend of the Resistant Ability Against Natural Calamities

本文从四川盆地乡镇企业、大型水利工程和人口等几个方面,预期其对盆地自然地理系统抗御自然灾害能力所产生的有利和不利影响,分析共增长和反馈的规律,以期达到制定合理政策,防止不合理措施,促进四川盆地生态经济社会全面发展的目的。

This paper discusses these favourable and unfavourable effects on the ability to resist natural calamities in Sichuan Basin geographical system. These effects are born of the village and town enterprises, the Three-Gorge Project of The Changjiang River, over growth of population and the human quolities. Then it analysis the population exponential growth law and feedback loop law in the effects, and offers optimization counter-measures that can prevent unreasonable measures and promote eco-economic prosperity.