重庆市渔业发展预测

A Forescast of the Fishery Development in Chongqing

本文应用线性回归预测,N阶回归预测和成长曲线预测等数学模型,对重庆市1990年、1995年、2000年三个时期的鱼业发展的主要目标进行了预测。 到本世纪末,重庆市水产品消费量将达到93561吨,水产品总产置82728吨,鱼苗生产量419700万尾,饲料需求量51912吨。

The mathematical models of linear regression, N-order regression and growth curve have been used to forecast the main targets of fishery development in the three periods of 1990, 1995 and 2000. By the end of the century, the amount of aqactic comsumption will reach 93 561 tons, the total output of aquatic products 82,728 tons, fry output 4 197 000 000 individua, and fish feed 51 912 tons.