摘要
本文收集了1977年以来水产品产量,销售量及集市、场外、水产公司各渠道销售量,水产品平均价格和不同品种价格变化等历史数据。并以相关分析和趋势分析,多元线性回归模型,分别预测1990年、1995年、2000年水产品产量、成交量、成交额。提出了流通体制改革建议。建议运用价值规律,对生产和流通进行调节。
The paper presents the historical data of the output of aquatic products and their sales volume since 1977,including the sales volume through various channels, such as marketing and aquatic companies. It also presents the historical data of changes of average prices and prices of varieties. In accordance with the analysis of correlation, tendency,linear regression mode and its variable coefficient, the paper forecasts the output of aquatic products, sales volume and volume of business for 1990, 1995 and 2000 respectively. It suggests a reform in the distribution system. The adjustment is made in production and distribution by using the law of value.
出处
《重庆师范学院学报(自然科学版)》
1989年第4期71-79,共9页
Journal of Chongqing Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
关键词
水产品
流通
销售
供需预测
sales volume of aquatic products, average price, forecasting of supply and demand, linear regression mode, distributon system of aquatic products.