美国直接投资对中美贸易影响的协整分析

Analyise of cointegration about trading between American and China affected by American investment

随着中国对外开放的深化,中国经济与世界各国的经济联系日趋紧密,受世界经济的影响已越来越大,特别是受到美国等主要发达国家经济的影响。本文通过协整理论研究了美国对我国的直接投资与中美贸易进出口的长期和短期的均衡关系,得出美国增加对我国的投资,将促进中美贸易的快速发展,并且可以减少中美贸易逆差。

with the deeper development of Chinese opening-policity,the Chinese economy has been contracted With other countries closely and been affected by the world＇s economy increasely,especially by main developed countries like America. This paper has researched the shipment between American FDI to China and the import and export of the two countries by the theory of Cointegration and it comes to the conclusion that with increase of investment to China of America, whichwill help the development of the trading and it will decline the non-balance between America and China.