电力建设项目风险管理中随机过程的应用

Markow-chain Approach to Electric Power Construction Project Risk Managment

近年来伴随着我国经济快速增长,无论是政府投资还是社会投资,电力建设项目都占有重要的地位。由于电力建设项目的高投入、高风险性,风险管理是项目管理的重要组成部分,先进的风险管理技术是项目管理者必备的手段。本文探讨了随机过程中的马尔科夫链在项目风险管理中的应用。通过实例分析表明应用马尔科夫链可以较好地进行项目风险预测。

The construction industry consistently suffers from poor project performance due to a lack of formalized risk management procedures. Advanced techniques are asked for supporting project risk management. This paper presents Markov-chain approach to support quantitative risk analysis in project risk management and a example is introduced to help to develop and share a greater understanding of Markov-chain approach.