华东电网“十一五”电力市场需求预测

Power demand forecasting of East China Power Grid during "Eleventh Five-Year"

介绍了近年来华东地区经济和电力发展的概况,以数据详细分析了电力需求、用电结构、负荷特性等用电情况以及华东电网装机规模和电源结构。分析了2005年电力发展形势,在此基础上进行了“十一五”华东地区电力需求预测,并预计“十一五”期间华东电力供需形势都将发生根本性的变化,即从严重缺电转向基本平衡甚至电力富裕。

The development of economy and electric power in the East China area is introduced, and the power demand, power consumption structure, and the load characteristics in the area are analyzed in detail, as well as the installed capacity and power supply structure of East China Power Grid. On discussion on the power development in 2005. the power demand in the area during the 11th Five-Year is forecast, and it is predicted that during the 11th Five-Year the power demand and supply in the area will change fundamentally, i.e. from serious power shortage to general balance or even power abundance.