船舶交通量的组合系统预测模型与方法

Composite systematic forecasting model and method for vessel traffic flow forecasting

在对我国沿海主要港口辖区水域船舶交通量系统分析的基础上，考虑到现有预测方法中的不足，提出了一种船舶交通量的组合系统预测模型（ＣＳＦＭ）．通过实例验算，证实该模型具有较高的预测精度．

On the basis of the systems analysis of vessel traffic flow of main ports of China coast and the deficiency of current forecasting method to be considered,a composite systematic forecasting method of vessel traffic flow is preseted.The checking computations with practical examples show that this model has higher forecasting precision.