新疆兵团土地人口承载力预测分析

Analysis of the Capacity of Bearing Resources and Population in Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps (XPCC)

随着国家西部大开发战略的实施,新疆生产建设兵团(以下简称兵团)的经济发展速度开始加快,人口增长与兵团资源的矛盾也逐渐凸现,研究兵团人口承载力问题就迫在眉睫。本文以数量经济学的理论和思想为指导,主要采用灰色系统理论、Logistic模型等定量分析方法对兵团人口、经济、资源及可持续发展进行研究。

The implementation of strategies for developing our western country accelerates the speed of economic development. There gradually appears a contradiction between the population＇s growth and resources. So it is extremely urgent to study on the capability of bearing population. Based on the theory and thought of quantity economics this paper studies XPCC＇ s population, economy and resource by adopting the grey systematic theory and quantitative analytical method of Logistic model.