中国经济之强劲增长:对东亚的寓意

China’s Dynamic Economic Growth:Implications for East Asia

中国的崛起对东亚经济产生了深刻影响。不仅中国在东北亚的近邻通过贸易和投资从中国的开放政策中获益，而且那些曾经与中国争夺国外直接投资（FDI）和出口市场的东盟国家也开始从中国的经济增长中得到好处。中国作为世界经济增长的发动机之一已经对其东亚邻国产生了积极影响。通过“东盟＋3”方案，特别是始于2002年的“中国-东盟”自由贸易协定，中国为东亚地区经济一体化提供了新的动力，从而为东亚经济增长发挥着日益重要的地缘政治和地缘经济作用。

On account of its successful economic reform, China＇s economy has experienced spectacular growth since 1979, largely unaffected by external shocks and the Asian financial crisis. The rise of China has produced a profound impact on the East Asian economies. Initially, China＇s northeast Asian neighbouring economies （Japan and the NIEs） captured most of the benefits of China＇s open-door policy by trading with China and investing there, whilst casting a large shadow on the smaller ASEAN economies to its south, many of which were competing with China directly in attracting FDI and indirectly in exporting manufactured products to the same third-country markets. In recent years, however, China＇s dynamic growth has started to produce positive spillovers on all its East Asian neighbours by operating as an engine of economic growth. But China has also provided new impetus for regional economic integration under the ASEAN ＋ 3 scheme, particularly following Beijing＇s bold initiative in 2002 in concluding the China-ASEAN FTA. China is destined to play an increasingly important geo-political and geo-economic role in East Asia＇s growth and development. Most East Asian countries should have no problem adjusting to the rise of China.