预测可采储量的最简单方法及其在低渗透油田的应用

The simplest method for predicting recoverable reserve and its application in low permeability oil field.

基于对Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ旋回的研究，推导提出了一种利用累积产量的倒数关系预测可采储量的新模型。该方法建模时只需要累积产量一项参数，而且只需进行一次简单的线性回归，即可确定可采储量，适用于各种类型的油气藏和单井。经实例验证，是行之有效的，并具有简单、方便、快速的特点。

Based on study on Logistic cycle,a new model of predicting recoverable reserve by reciprocal relation of cumulative production is derived.Cumulative production is the only parameter needed for modeling ,and the recoverable reserve can be determined only by one time of simple linear regression.This method is suitable for all types of hydrocarbon reservoirs and individual wells.It is effective in practice,and has features of simplicity,convenience and rapidity.