摘要
改革开放以来,中国经济的高速增长已经成为一个不争的事实,文章运用协整和误差修正模型验证消费和基本建设投资对CDP增长的作用。得出结论:无论是从长期均衡还是从短期变动来看,居民消费和基本建设投资对中国经济发展都起到了积极的促进作用,尤其是居民消费。
Since the reform and opening-up, high economic growth in China has already become an irrefutable fact, and consumption of residents and capital construction investment are the main motive force of promoting China's economic growth, especially the consumption of residents. We try to study the cointegration between the consumption of resident, capital construction investment and GDP in the past 50 years and to make an explanation.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
2005年第5期79-82,101,共5页
Journal of Statistics and Information
关键词
经济增长
居民消费
基本建设投资
协整
误差修正模型
Economic growth
The consumption of residents
Infrastructural investment
Cointegration
ECM