一例基于灰色模型的电力负荷预测方法的应用

The Application of Electric Forecasting Method Based on the Grey Model

以忻州市1994～2004年用电量数据为例介绍了灰色预测技术在电力系统中的应用,并与忻州市1994年至2004年工农业生产总值(不变价)和同期用电量数据建立的一元线性回归模型预测结果进行了对比分析,进一步说明了灰色模型预测具有较高的置信度和应用价值.

Taking the annual power-consumption quantity from 1994 to 2004 in Xinzhou as the example, this paper introduces the application of grey forecasting technology in power system and compares the industrial and agricultural gross municipal product from 1994-to 2004 with one-unknown-linear-regression-model forecasting result built on the data of power-consumption quantity for the period and explains more about the trust degree and application value of grey model.