泥石流预测预报研究进展

The Forecasting of Debris Flow

泥石流是山区常见的一种灾害现象。泥石流预测预报是减轻灾害的一项重要措施,成为当前国内外研究的重点。本文阐述了泥石流预测预报的类型和层次,介绍了国际和国内泥石流预测预报研究的进展,并对其未来发展提出了几个值得思考的问题。

The Debris-flow is a kind of commonnatural phenomenou. Debris-flow forecasting,as an very important countermeasure for disasters mitigation, becomes a focus field of debris-flow research at home and abroad. This paper introduces the background knowledge of debris-flow forecast including its definition, type and forecasting level. A view to the international developing situation has been given. The main research results in this field in the recent years are introduced in China. Finally, some suggestions on the further development of debris-flow forecasting theories and technique are proposed.