四川省城镇居民消费结构实证研究

A Positive Research on the Consumption Structure of Urban Residents in Sichuan Province

利用扩展线性支出系统对2002年四川省城镇居民的消费结构进行了经济计量研究。通过对基本消费支出、边际消费倾向和需求弹性的分析,阐明了四川地区城镇居民消费结构的总体特征、受制因素和发展趋势,并对2005年主要商品消费需求进行了预测,最后提出了优化消费结构的相关建议。

The article utilizes the extensive linear expenditure system （ELES） to research the consumption structure of Sichuan urban residents quantitatively. The author illustrates the total characteristics, influential factors and tendency through basic consumption expenditure, marginal propensity of consumption and elastic analysis, and forecasts the demand to main commodities in 2005. And finally, the relevant suggestions are put forward to promote the consumption structure.