季节指数预测法在精神病医院管理中的应用

Application of prospective approach of seasonal index number in the administration of psychiatric hospital

目的:应用季节指数预测法探讨了精神病人入院高峰时期。方法:收集了五年中入院人数,并采用季节指数预测法进行动态变化分析处理。结果:发现3、4、5月份为入院高峰期,而9、10月份入院人数较少。结论:精神病人入院高峰期与季节性变化有关。

Objective： To explore the hospitalization fastigium of psychiatric patients with prospective approach of seasonal index number. Methods： The hospitalization situation of psychiatric patients in recent 5 years were analyzed by prospective approach of seasonal index number. Results： It showed that the hospitalization fastigium appeared in Mar, Apri and May,and less in Sep,Oct, From which, we brought forward some administrative measures. Conclusion：The hospitalization fastigium of psychiatric correlated with season.