我国综合客运需求函数及各种客运方式的需求格局

Passenger Transport Demand Function and State of Every Passenger Transport Methed of China

分析了我国客运需求的主要影响因素,提出基本需求和活动需求概念,研究了我国客运需求函数的一般表达式和实证形式。认为各客运方式的需求应依赖于其竞争的状态,各客运方式将主要集中在典型竞争因素上开展竞争,其各自的市场需求份额将趋于一个较合理的比例。用AHP定量方法并结合定性方法推算出了这一比例。

This dissertation analyze the influencing factors on passenger transport demand in China. The new demand conceptions of stabilization demand and activity demand are put forward. The common expression and the demonstration form of passenger transport demand function are studied in this report. A viewpoint was proposal that respective passenger transport demand rely on the rival condition, and the competition was focus upon the typical rival factors. Through the competition the market share was rationally give to the different transportation instruments. This proportion can be calculated by the methods of AHP and other qualitative technique.