基于蒙特卡洛仿真的理想点决策方法及其应用

The Ideal Point Decision Making Method and Its Application Based on Monte-Carlo Simulation

首先分析了传统TOPS IS方法的基本原理和计算步骤,指出了传统TOPS IS方法应用时存在的限制与不足,提出了基于计算机蒙特卡洛仿真方法与传统理想点方法相结合的思想,该方法可以利用评测所给的区间值,既方便表述评测结果,也充分利用了评测结果,更加接近实际情况,因而,有助于提高决策质量.最后,通过复杂工程系统设计决策一个算例验证了该法的可行性与有效性.

The TOPSIS method is a common used method in Multi-Object Decision Making. The advantages and disadvantages of TOPSIS are discussed in this paper, and then the Monte- Carlo Simulation method is introduced to overcome the disadvantages of traditional TOPSIS method, an example is presented to validate the method.