内蒙古经济发展可持续性的定量分析

Quantitative Analysis of Sustainable Development of Inner Mongolia Economy

采用绿色国内生产总值(GGDP)与真实储蓄(GS)定量地评估了内蒙古经济发展的可持续性,提出了新的资源价值货币化方法.研究结果表明:1991～1993年内蒙古经济发展不可持续,1993～2003年则是可持续的;同时,资源、环境污染以及资源环境损耗占GDP的比重分别为11.13%～28.03%、2.85%～11.33%和16.09%～39.36%;GDP比GGDP每年高估产出141.57～528.65亿元;可持续性特征将会随着资源环境因子覆盖面增大而变弱,甚至消失.

Green gross domestic production （GGDP） and genuine savings（GS） were utilized to assess sustainability of Inner Mongolia economy quantitatively. A new method was created for valuing resources. Results are as followings. From 1993 to 2003, the economy was sustainable, but it was not between 1991 and 1993. The depletion of resources, environment and the both amounted to 11.13-28.03% ,2.85-11.33% andl6.09-39.36% of GDP. GDP overrated 14. 157 billion to 52. 865 billion than GGDP. Evidently, sustainability would be weaker or even disappeared with more factors of resources and environment being accounted.