基于AHP法和灰色模式识别理论的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估

Quantitative analysis of submarine pipeline routing risk based on AHP and grey-mode identification theory

根据海底管道路由潜在风险的特点及风险类型,提出了一种将层次分析法(AHP法)和灰色模式识别理论相结合的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估方法,该方法利用AHP确定风险评价指标体系,运用灰色模式识别理论,建立识别结果标准,并结合实际工程进行计算,计算结果表明该方法是可行的。

In this paper, according to the fuzzy and indeterminate characteristics of the influencing factors, a new method for the quantitative analysis submarine pipeline routing risk is presented, basedon AHP theory and grey-mode identification theory. The guideline system for quan- titative routing risk evaluation and the evaluation standard based on grey-mode identification theory are also established. An example makes it clear that this model can concisely and directly reflect the hazard degree of the routing system.