摘要
针对夏季气象因素对日峰荷的影响,在总结常规负荷特性分析缺陷的基础上,提出用人体舒适度作为综合气象指标来反映其对日峰荷的影响。以综合考虑温度、湿度、风速等因素的综合气象指数为切入点,并以其为关联变量建模,在对历史负荷数据进行处理的基础上探讨日峰荷随气象变化的规律,从而为今后更准确地预测日峰荷和建立合理、实用的数学模型进行必要的理论准备。
In order to analyze the effect of summer weather factor on peak load, adopting comfort index to analyze peak load is brought forward based on summarizing limitation of normal load characteristic analysis. Considering overall weather factor including temperature, humidity and wind velocity, models adopting this overall index are discussed. The rule of peak load changing with weather is discussed based on dealing with historic load in order to forecast daily peak load and find reasonable numerical model.
出处
《江苏电机工程》
2005年第6期5-7,共3页
Jiangsu Electrical Engineering
关键词
电力系统
日峰荷
负荷预测
人体舒适度指数
T检验
温湿指数
有效温度
electric power system
daily peak load
load forecasting
body comfort index
t test
temperature and humidityindex
effective temperature
