舰艇编队对空中目标的威胁程度判断模型

Analysis of the Threat Assessment Model of Aerial Targets of Warship Fleets

根据舰艇编队对空防御的要求,综合考虑了目标运动状态和历史战术动作,将目标攻击企图和攻击达成概率纳入目标威胁判断之中,建立了空中运动目标实时威胁程度判断模型,为编队防空作战火力组织提供了基本依据。该模型解决了传统静态威胁判断模型存在的一些问题,模型的仿真结果符合一般战术推理和经验判断,能较好地描述空中目标威胁程度的变化,可以为编队防空指挥自动化决策研究提供一定的参考。

Based on the requirements of fleet anti-air combat, a real time threat assessment of maneuvering aerial targets has been established in this paper. Agressire attempt and successful probaility of the targets has been concerned in the model. The emulational results approved the validity of the model and the model can provide some referenced value for the study on the anti-air C^3I system of warship fleest.