摘要
利用历史洪水已知的实测流量信息,将实时修正引入雨量站网规划中,在闽江七里街流域对1988～2001年的45场洪水采用误差自回归（AR）模型在模拟过程中进行实时修正.通过与没有实时修正情况下的雨量站网规划结果相比较,具有实时修正功能的精度较高的洪水预报方案对减少雨量站网密度有较满意的效果.
Making use of the observed discharge information, real-time correcting method is brought in rainfall network programming. AR model is used to revise the simulated processes of forty five flood events. It is concluded from comparison that the flood forecast project with real-time correcting method is of higher precision and thus useful to reduce the rainfall network density.
作者
王叶琴
包为民
王浩
张阳
WANG Ye-qin, BAO Wei-min, WANG Hao, ZHANG Yang （College of Water Resource and Environment, Hehai University, Nanjing 210098, China）
出处
《西北水力发电》
2005年第4期38-40,64,共4页
Journal of Northwest Hydroelectric Power
