摘要
文章运用协整分析和格兰杰因果检验,对1978年至2003年镇江市城镇居民收入和消费之间的关系进行实证分析,结果表明两者存在着长期稳定的动态均衡关系,且具有明显的单向因果作用,即收入提高有助于推动消费增加。针对分析结果,对扩大镇江市城镇居民消费需求提出几点建议。
Using the Cointetation Analysis and Granger-test to study the relationship between Zhenjiang Urban household＇s income and consumption. The result of experienced study indicates that the income and consumption was cointegrated form 1978 to 2004, furthermore , there was one-way causality. It means that raising income would stimulate consumption. According to analytical results, the article puts forward a few advices on enlarging the consumption of Zhenjiang urban households.
出处
《华东经济管理》
2005年第12期8-10,共3页
East China Economic Management
关键词
协整
格兰杰因果检验
误差修正模型
cointegration
granger causality test
error correction model
