对山西城镇居民家庭消费性支出的预测分析

Prediction and Analysis for Annual Per Capital Living Expenditures of Urban Households of Shanxi Province [KH*3/5D]

运用SAS软件系统中的时间序列建模方法对1981～2000年山西城镇居民家庭人均全年消费性支出建立了ARIMA模型,并做了预测分析,得到了较高的预测精度,为家庭人均全年消费性支出的预测提供了一种方便实用的方法.

By some time series methods of SAS system, ARIMA model was established and some prediction and analysis for annual per capital living expenditures of urban households were made. It is shown that the accuracy of prediction is fairly good.